RESTATS International Plc predicts a 53.7% win for John Mahama
An opinion poll conducted by RESTATS International PLC, a Nigerian based multinational which deals in socio-political research have put President Mahama ahead in the 7th December polls.
The poll conducted from 25th November to 2nd December, 2012 revealed that the incumbent leader and Presidential Candidate of the ruling NDC, President John Mahama was significantly ahead of his main rival Nana Akuffo Addo.
Using a sample size of 2750 respondents across the country, the sampling was done systematic on constituency dwelling basis. The margin of error is estimated at 2.1% and confidence level tested with the t-test.
RESTATS International PLC established that, John Mahama would lead the poll by 53.7% followed by the NPP’s Nana Akuffo Addo polling 38.2%.
The rest polled as follows;
Hassan Ayariga PNC 3.6%
Dr. Paa Kwesi Ndoum PPP 2.1%
Dr. Abu Sakara Forster CPP 1.15%
The rest of the candidates together polled 1.25%
In the Parliamentary elections NDC will win in 155 constituencies whiles the NPP takes on 116 constituencies. The PNC will win two seats, the CPP will win 1 seat in Jomoro and 1 Independent seat in the Bunkpurugu constituency.
The most critical election issues identified, were led by Education which scored slightly above Peace, stability and security at 36.2% and 35.8% respectively. Jobs and the Economy scored 21% and the others such as Health, Agriculture, Infrastructure development and so on scored 7%.
John Mahama according the results won Greater Accra, Upper East, Upper West, Brong Ahafo, Volta and the Northern regions, but leads Nana Akuffo Addo in the Western Region marginally. Nana Akuffo Addo, the NPP Presidential Candidate also won the Ashanti Region and the Eastern region but with a rather lesser margin compared to 2008 elections run-off.
RESTATS International Plc.
December 4, 2012
Kadri Karim (Mphil)
Country Representative, Ghana